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2026-07-04 · captured Sat, 04 Jul 2026 16:00:02 GMT

Northern eastern Oklahoma

VerifiedPreliminary

Official Forecast Snapshot

Nearest city
Ponca City, OK, Oklahoma
SPC category
ENH
Tornado probability
2%
Sig-tor hatched
No
Confidence
Low
Target
36.93, -96.65
Reasoning

SPC Day 1 ENH selected by categorical. Tornado probability 2%. Verified top target: Northern eastern Oklahoma.

This snapshot is immutable. It is a permanent record of what Meso forecast before storms occurred.

Verification

Verified. 0 tornado and 27 total severe reports within 75 mi of target (Northern eastern Oklahoma). Based on SPC preliminary reports.

{
  "source": "SPC preliminary reports",
  "source_url": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/260704_rpts.html",
  "within75_total": 27,
  "within150_total": 73,
  "within75_tornado": 0
}

Outcomes based on SPC preliminary storm reports. Counts may shift as NWS finalizes Local Storm Reports.

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