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2026-07-20 · captured Mon, 20 Jul 2026 16:00:02 GMT

Southern eastern Minnesota

VerifiedPreliminary

Official Forecast Snapshot

Nearest city
Madison, WI, Minnesota
SPC category
ENH
Tornado probability
5%
Sig-tor hatched
No
Confidence
Moderate
Target
43.85, -90.12
Reasoning

SPC Day 1 ENH selected by categorical. Tornado probability 5%. Verified top target: Southern eastern Minnesota.

This snapshot is immutable. It is a permanent record of what Meso forecast before storms occurred.

Verification

Verified. 2 tornado and 3 total severe reports within 75 mi of target (Southern eastern Minnesota). Based on SPC preliminary reports.

{
  "source": "SPC preliminary reports",
  "source_url": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/260720_rpts.html",
  "within75_total": 3,
  "within150_total": 9,
  "within75_tornado": 2
}

Outcomes based on SPC preliminary storm reports. Counts may shift as NWS finalizes Local Storm Reports.

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