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2026-06-29 · captured Mon, 29 Jun 2026 16:00:02 GMT

Southern eastern North Dakota

VerifiedPreliminary

Official Forecast Snapshot

Nearest city
Fargo, ND, Dakota
SPC category
ENH
Tornado probability
2%
Sig-tor hatched
No
Confidence
Low
Target
46.34, -97.23
Reasoning

SPC Day 1 ENH selected by categorical. Tornado probability 2%. Verified top target: Southern eastern North Dakota.

This snapshot is immutable. It is a permanent record of what Meso forecast before storms occurred.

Revisions

  1. Mon, 29 Jun 2026 18:00:02 GMT · target_shift
    Southern eastern North DakotaCentral Minnesota
    Verified top target shifted 172 mi from prior position.
  2. Mon, 29 Jun 2026 21:00:02 GMT · target_shift
    Central MinnesotaWestern Minnesota
    Verified top target shifted 123 mi from prior position.

Verification

Verified. 3 tornado and 17 total severe reports within 75 mi of target (Southern eastern North Dakota). Based on SPC preliminary reports.

{
  "source": "SPC preliminary reports",
  "source_url": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/260629_rpts.html",
  "within75_total": 17,
  "within150_total": 35,
  "within75_tornado": 3
}

Outcomes based on SPC preliminary storm reports. Counts may shift as NWS finalizes Local Storm Reports.

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