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2026-07-02 · captured Thu, 02 Jul 2026 16:00:02 GMT

Northern eastern South Dakota

VerifiedPreliminary

Official Forecast Snapshot

Nearest city
Aberdeen, SD, Dakota
SPC category
ENH
Tornado probability
2%
Sig-tor hatched
No
Confidence
Low
Target
44.87, -97.52
Reasoning

SPC Day 1 ENH selected by categorical. Tornado probability 2%. Verified top target: Northern eastern South Dakota.

This snapshot is immutable. It is a permanent record of what Meso forecast before storms occurred.

Revisions

  1. Thu, 02 Jul 2026 17:00:03 GMT · target_shift
    Northern eastern South Dakota → Eastern South Dakota
    Verified top target shifted 46 mi from prior position.

Verification

Verified. 1 tornado and 19 total severe reports within 75 mi of target (Northern eastern South Dakota). Based on SPC preliminary reports.

{
  "source": "SPC preliminary reports",
  "source_url": "https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/260702_rpts.html",
  "within75_total": 19,
  "within150_total": 43,
  "within75_tornado": 1
}

Outcomes based on SPC preliminary storm reports. Counts may shift as NWS finalizes Local Storm Reports.

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